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Counter-response to Ian Cronshaw, head of the IEA energy diversification division

November 12, 2009

Dear Ian,

Thank you for responding. I have read last year’s World Energy Outlook and of course we all agree that drastic action is required across the board both to meet increased fuel consumption and to simultaneously make efforts to reduce it. Your report was not regarded as alarmist by the same media, specifically the Guardian, when it came out last year:

The whistleblowers and other independent researchers (and now a number of MPs here in the UK) are questioning whether the figure of 104 mb/d by 2030, the result of an increase of at least 40-45 mb/d that you cited, is attainable.

The whistleblowers suggest that many inside the IEA believe that we can only feasibly achieve an absolute maximum of 90-95 mb/d. If there is any reasonable doubt about achieving 105 mb/d by 2030 then we need to collectively revise our targets and policies immediately.

Surely of all the decisions in human history this is the one in which we would be wisest to err on the side of caution?

Forgive me for stating the obvious but you are the energy watchdog and your role is extraordinarily pivotal in the world political theatre. My government relies on your assessment to create or adjust energy policy. As a concerned constituent and as a human being I have cause to sound an alarm when I read in a trusted publication that there is disagreement within your organization as to the reliability of your own assessment.

I believe I speak for many when I ask that the IEA publicly address these suspicions as soon as possible.

Seth Mowshowitz

As far as I can tell there hasn’t yet been any public address by the IEA to shed light on the suspected internal disagreement.

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